According to a report by The Washington Post on Wednesday, US intelligence assessments suggest that Israel is likely to launch a preemptive strike on Iran’s nuclear program by midyear. The report, based on multiple intelligence sources, warns that such an attack could set back Iran’s nuclear progress by weeks or months but also escalate regional tensions and risk a broader conflict.
The intelligence findings, compiled during the transition from the Biden to the Trump administration, indicate that Israel may target Iran’s Fordow and Natanz nuclear facilities. Analysts believe Israel sees an opportunity following its October bombing campaign, which reportedly weakened Iran’s air defenses.
The White House, CIA, Defense Intelligence Agency, and the Office of the Director of National Intelligence all declined to comment on the report. Brian Hughes, a spokesperson for the White House National Security Council, reiterated that President Donald Trump “will not permit Iran to get a nuclear weapon.” While he emphasized a preference for diplomatic negotiations, he warned that patience was limited.
Former President Trump, in a recent Fox News interview, echoed this sentiment, stating his preference for a deal over military action but acknowledging speculation that Israel, with US support, might carry out a strike.
The intelligence reports outline two potential strike scenarios, both involving US aerial refueling and intelligence support. However, the Biden administration had previously sought to prevent escalation through diplomatic efforts, while Iran, the UK, France, and Germany have attempted to revive stalled nuclear talks.
Tensions between Iran and Israel remain high, with both countries engaging in retaliatory strikes last year amid broader regional unrest tied to Israel’s ongoing conflict in Gaza.
