Pakistan’s chances of reaching the semi-finals of the ICC Men’s T20 World Cup remain alive — but only just — as qualification from Super Eights Group 2 hinges on upcoming results and net run-rate (NRR) calculations.
After two matches, Pakistan sit third in the group with one point. Their fixture against New Zealand was washed out, before they suffered defeat to England.
England, unbeaten with two wins from two, have already secured a semi-final spot and lead the group with four point
Current Group 2 picture
- England – 4 points (Qualified)
- New Zealand – In contention
- Pakistan – 1 point, NRR: -0.461
- Sri Lanka – 0 points, NRR: -2.550
Qualification scenarios for Pakistan
1️⃣ If New Zealand lose both matches
If New Zealand national cricket team lose to England and Sri Lanka, Pakistan simply need to beat Sri Lanka national cricket team in their final match to finish in the top two and qualify.
This is Pakistan’s most straightforward route.
2️⃣ If New Zealand lose one match
If New Zealand win one and lose one of their remaining games, Pakistan must:
- Defeat Sri Lanka
- Finish with a better NRR than New Zealand
With Pakistan’s current NRR at -0.461, a convincing win will likely be required if qualification comes down to margins
If New Zealand win both matches
If New Zealand beat both England and Sri Lanka, Pakistan will be eliminated — regardless of their own result.
Key factors
Sri Lanka, despite being bottom of the group, could still shape the outcome. They face both New Zealand and Pakistan and could significantly influence the qualification race.
England and Sri Lanka are scheduled to meet in Colombo later today, a match that could further clarify the equation.
For Pakistan, the message is clear: win big — and hope results elsewhere go their way.
